Gows Shugumaran and Chris Evans of consultants Newbridge Advisors unveil strategies for landlords to defend and improve their credit ratings
The weakening of credit ratings has been a dynamic which the social housing sector has successfully grappled with over the past 10 years.
Whereas a rating move from AA to A+ was generally not considered impactful in the past, we are now entering new territory as ratings, although still investment grade, drop into the BBB+ space.
But what is the impact of this, why is a credit rating important and what can be done to halt this slide?
For housing associations, a strong credit rating determines access to competitive financing, enhances market confidence, and strengthens an organisation’s ability to deliver much-needed affordable housing.
In today’s dynamic landscape, understanding how to defend and improve credit ratings has become essential for associations looking to deliver on their strategic objectives.
Credit ratings evaluate an organisation’s financial health and creditworthiness. For associations, these ratings influence borrowing costs and impact relationships with investors, residents and regulators.
Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch are the three primary credit rating agencies assessing the sector, each applying distinct methodologies.
While these agencies aim to provide an accurate reflection of financial stability, their ratings often drive stakeholder perceptions – making the active management of this relationship as important as the ratings themselves.
Over the past decade, credit ratings across the sector have seen a gradual decline. This erosion, which accelerated in 2021, comes from a historically strong base but signals growing pressures on association business models.
Factors such as rising costs, shifting regulatory requirements and broader economic instability have strained financial plans. As mitigations introduced during recent crises begin to take effect, the sector must brace for continued challenges to its credit standing over the next three years.
Credit ratings are shaped by a range of qualitative and quantitative factors, all of which associations can influence to some degree:
Defending and enhancing credit ratings requires a proactive and multifaceted approach. Here are some key strategies associations can adopt:
1. Strengthening financial resilience
Financial resilience is the cornerstone of a strong credit rating. Associations should prioritise robust budgeting, forecasting and stress-testing to prepare for economic uncertainties.
One critical measure is liquidity, which is central to the methodology used by rating agencies. Maintaining liquidity above required thresholds provides a buffer against short-term shocks and signals financial stability.
By building cash reserves and diversifying income streams, associations can mitigate risks and strengthen their financial position.
2. Enhancing governance structures
Good governance is a vital component of a credit rating. This includes not only assembling a skilled and experienced board but also fostering a culture of transparency and accountability.
Investing in board training ensures that members can effectively oversee complex financial and operational strategies.
Clear communication about governance practices with stakeholders, including investors and rating agencies, reinforces confidence in the organisation’s leadership. Strong governance frameworks can also help identify risks early and address them proactively.
3. Engaging with rating agencies
Proactive engagement with credit rating agencies is an often-overlooked strategy. By maintaining regular communication, associations can ensure agencies are fully informed about financial performance, strategic initiatives and risk management practices.
This transparency allows organisations to pre-emptively address concerns and foster a collaborative relationship with analysts.
4. Focusing on risk management
Effective risk management is key to demonstrating financial stability. Associations should:
By showcasing a comprehensive approach to risk mitigation, associations can reassure rating agencies of their preparedness to handle potential challenges.
5. Prioritising service delivery
Strong service delivery not only benefits residents but also positively influences credit ratings. Investing in initiatives that directly enhance resident satisfaction, such as community support services or housing quality improvements, strengthens an association’s reputation.
Agencies value organisations that demonstrate a commitment to their mission, viewing them as lower-risk investments.
6. Leveraging mergers and partnerships
Strategic mergers can provide the scale needed to achieve operational efficiencies and enhance financial stability.
Larger organisations benefit from economies of scale, reduced costs, and greater bargaining power. These advantages often translate into improved credit profiles.
However, mergers must be approached thoughtfully. Associations should ensure robust integration plans are in place to address governance, financial and operational complexities.
Successfully executed mergers can lead to significant increases in development capacity and operational efficiency, ultimately benefiting credit ratings.
While these strategies can strengthen credit ratings, HAs must also navigate external challenges. Stubbornly high interest rates, policy uncertainty and inflationary pressures all pose risks.
Additionally, maintaining stakeholder confidence in a period of economic volatility requires clear communication and a steadfast commitment to delivering on promises.
Navigating the credit ratings landscape requires a proactive, strategic approach. By focusing on financial resilience, strong governance, transparent engagement with rating agencies and a commitment to service delivery, associations can defend and justify an improvement to their credit ratings.
As the sector evolves, those who prioritise these strategies will be better equipped to weather challenges and continue delivering affordable housing solutions.
Credit ratings are more than a financial metric – they are a reflection of an organisation’s overall health and mission alignment. Associations that rise to the occasion will not only secure their financial future but also reinforce their role as essential pillars of the communities they serve.
Gows Shugumaran and Chris Evans, directors at Newbridge Advisors
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