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Market digest: housing association bond yields – December 2024

How did financial market movements and political swings affect housing association bonds in the secondary market in December 2024?

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Market digest: housing association bond yields – December 2024 #UKhousing

How did financial market movements and political swings affect housing association bonds in the secondary market in December 2024? #UKhousing


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Market summary


Base rate9 September10 October13 November3 December
UK5.005.004.754.75
US*5.505.004.754.75
EU3.653.653.403.40
FTSE 1008,227.18,235.48,024.58,368.66

 Note: * = current range 0.00-0.25

Sonia rates


 6 September9 October12 November2 December
One month4.924.954.714.70
Three month4.854.794.694.66
Six month4.694.644.594.55

 Source: Aquila Treasury & Finance Solutions

Gilt yields


 

9 September

10 October13 November3 December

Two year

3.994.234.494.21

Three year

3.744.014.293.99

Four year

3.693.964.253.94

Five year

3.814.114.404.07

Seven year

3.824.134.424.11

10 year

3.934.224.504.22

15 year

4.224.504.734.49

20 year

4.414.694.894.69

25 year

4.454.734.904.73

30 year

4.484.754.904.75

40 year

4.434.694.834.69

50 year

4.034.264.364.18

 Source: Aquila Treasury & Finance Solutions

 

Swap rates


 9 September10 October13 November3 December

Two year

3.964.134.334.10

Three year

3.794.014.253.97

Four year

3.693.934.183.88

Five year

3.633.874.123.82

Seven year

3.573.834.063.77

10 year

3.603.864.053.79

15 year

3.703.964.123.89

20 year

3.754.004.153.94

25 year

3.754.004.133.93

30 year

3.733.984.093.90

40 year

3.653.903.993.80

50 year

3.563.803.873.69

 Source: Aquila Treasury & Finance Solutions

 

Retail bonds


Issuer

Credit rating

Issue date

Nominal £m

Price (p) at 03/12/2024

Change on month (p)

Yield (%) at 03/12/2024

Change on month (basis points)

A2Dominion 4.50%, 2026A (Fitch)09/14£15098.530.154.69-2

 Source: London Stock Exchange

UK Treasury reference gilts for housing association bond issues


Reference gilts: letters in brackets refer to bonds; see table below

Yield (%) at 03/12/2024

Change on month (basis points)

(a) priced over: Treasury 1.25%, 20414.55-21
(b) priced over: Treasury 1.25%, 20514.71-14
(c) priced over: Treasury 4.50%, 20344.22-28
(f) priced over: Treasury 2.00%, 20254.55-8
(g) priced over: Treasury 5.00%, 20254.61-17
(h) priced over: Treasury 6.00%, 20283.96-31
(i) priced over: Treasury 4.75%, 20304.00-31
(j) priced over: Treasury 4.25%, 20324.09-28
(k) priced over: Treasury 4.25%, 20364.32-25
(l) priced over: Treasury 3.25%, 20444.69-19
(m) priced over: Treasury 4.75%, 20384.45-25
(n) priced over: Treasury 4.50%, 20424.64-20
(o) priced over: Treasury 1.75%, 20574.65-13
(p) priced over: Treasury 3.50%, 20454.71-19
(r) priced over: Treasury 4.25%, 20464.74-17
(s) priced over: Treasury 4.25%, 20494.75-16
(t) priced over: Treasury 3.75%, 20524.76-14
(u) priced over: Treasury 4.25%, 20554.74-14
(v) priced over: Treasury 1.50%, 20264.11-22
(w) priced over: Treasury 1.50%, 20474.71-16
(x) priced over: Treasury 1.63%, 20544.70-14
(y) priced over: Treasury 0.625%, 20504.64-15
(z) priced over: Treasury 1.25%, 20274.01-26

 Source: UK Debt Management Office. Note: n/s not previously tracked by Social Housing

Housing association public issues, ranked by maturity date


Securities above £100m (final brackets indicate reference gilt: see table above)Rating: Moody’s / S&P / FitchDate of last issueNominal amount (£m)Yield at last issue (%)Margin at last issue (basis points)Yield at 03/12/2024 (%)Change on month (basis points)Margin at 03/12/2024 (basis points)Change on month (+ or -)
London & Quadrant 2.625%, 2026 (f)A3/BBB+/A05/16£3002.691075.63-8108+0
Places for People 2.88%, 2026 (v)A3/A-/A-08/16£4002.451795.16-24105-2
PRS Finance 1.75%, 2026 (v)Aa3/–/–11/16£5821.89464.59-2148+1
Folio Residential London 1.246%, 2027 (z)Aa1/–/–10/20£2501.251285.17-30116-3
London & Quadrant 2.63%, 2028 (h)A3/BBB+/A02/18£2502.741185.12-31116+0
A2Dominion 3.5%, 2028 (h)–/–/A11/16£2503.812305.56-31160+0
London & Quadrant 2.25%, 2029 (h)A3/BBB+/A07/17£2502.201005.00-31105-0
Clarion Funding 2.63%, 2029 (h)A3/A-/A+01/19£3002.721484.94-3398-2
Notting Hill Genesis 2.88%, 2029 (h)A3/A-/A-01/19£2502.971735.10-24115+7
Sanctuary 8.37%, 2031 (h)A2/A/–05/98£906.76905.44-29148+2
Places for People 5.88%, 2031 (i)A3/A-/A-05/11£1755.791705.39-30139+1
Notting Hill 3.75%, 2032 (j)A3/A-/A-12/12£3503.751085.38-12129+17
London & Quadrant 2.00%, 2032 (j)A3/BBB+/A01/22£3002.03875.12-27104+1
Aster Treasury 5.412%, 2032 (j)–/A+/–06/23£2505.411105.02-3193-3
London & Quadrant 4.62%, 2033 (j)A3/BBB+/A03/12£2504.621575.24-29115-0
Quadrant HF 7.90%, 2018/33 (h)A3/BBB+/A02/98£1306.92865.40-30144+1
Harbour Funding 5.28%, 2034 (j)A3/A-/–08/03£2065.28585.37-29129-0
Peabody Capital No 2 2.75%, 2034 (c)A3/A-/A02/22£3502.851255.39-29116-1
THFC (Funding No.1) 5.12%, 2035 (k)–/A+/–07/08£2235.961355.65-2496-5
Clarion 1.875%, 2035 (c)A3/A-/A+01/20£3501.88985.25-30103-2
Optivo 2.857%, 2035 (c)A3/–/–03/20£2502.862305.48-29126-1
Aster 1.405%, 2036 (k)–/A+/–01/21£2501.40805.52-1983+1
Notting Hill 2.00%, 2036 (k)A3/A-/A-06/21£2502.081005.94-11124+8
Paragon 2.00%, 2036 (k)A3/BBB+/–05/21£3002.03875.94-19125+0
Metropolitan Housing Trust 1.875%, 2036 (k)–/A-/–07/21£2502.001155.78-20109-1
Stonewater 1.625%, 2036 (k)A3/A-/–09/21£2501.75855.61-2192-2
Southern 2.375%, 2036 (k)A3/–/A10/21£3002.501305.9521125-2
Home 8.75%, 2037 (k)–/A-/–07/93£1008.75110n/sn/sn/sn/s
Haven (37) 8.12%, 2037 (i)Baa1/BBB+/–08/00£1456.782005.57-40156-9
Affinity Sutton 5.98%, 2038 (m)A3/A-/–09/08£2505.981555.49-26104-0
Circle Anglia 7.25%, 2038 (m)A3/A-/–11/10£3855.381105.54-25108-0
Longhurst 5.13%, 2038 (m)A3/–/–07/12£2505.242425.57-26112-1
RSL Finance (No.1) 6.62%, 2038 (m)A2/–/–06/03£3435.37955.53-31108-6
GB Social Housing 5.19%, 2038 (m)–/A-/–05/14£3244.82150n/sn/s119n/s
MORhomes 3.4%, 2038 (m)–/A-/–03/21£4532.781305.57-29112-4
London & Quadrant 2.00%, 2038 (m)A3/BBB+/A10/20£2502.071405.59-25114+0
Southern 4.50-5.36%, 2039 (m)A3/–/A03/14£1754.50120n/sn/sn/sn/s
Genfinance II 6.06%, 2039 (m)A3/A-/A12/09£2506.061705.69-17124+8
London & Quadrant 5.50%, 2039 (m)A3/BBB+/A01/10£3005.551155.49-26104-1
Sanctuary 6.69%, 2039 (m)A2/A/–09/10£3204.851005.30-2885-2
Sovereign 5.70%, 2039 (m)A3/A/–08/09£1755.701555.47-26102-1
THFC (Funding No.2) 6.35%, 2039 (m)–/A+/–04/11£3715.391055.41-2796-2
Hyde 5.12%, 2040 (m)–/A-/A07/10£2505.121055.29-2784-2
Moat 5.10%, 2041 (m)A2/–/–09/11£3005.101475.38-2493+1
Platform 1.926%, 2041 (a)–/A+/A+09/21£2501.93875.26-2272-2
Midland Heart 5.08%, 2042 (n)A1/–/–10/12£1505.08196n/sn/sn/sn/s
Affinity Sutton 4.25%, 2042 (n)A3/A-/–09/12£2504.311255.64-20100-1
East Thames 5.48%, 2042 (n)A3/BBB+/A+06/12£2505.472505.65-21101-2
Notting Hill 5.25%, 2042 (n)A3/A-/A-07/11£3005.281205.88-10124+9
SHG Finance 6.38%, 2042 (j)–/A-/–06/01£2406.381385.39-32130-3
Sovereign 4.76%, 2042 (n)A3/A/–05/12£2504.771705.56-2192-1
Together 4.5%, 2042 (m)A3/–/–12/12£3504.501455.52-27106-2
Great Places 4.75%, 2042 (n)A3/–/A11/12£3454.811705.59-2295-2
Hastoe 5.60%, 2042 (n)A3/–/–11/14£2004.271445.79-19115+1
Saxon Weald 5.37%, 2042 (k)A3/–/–05/12£2255.492485.98-18129+1
WM Housing Group 4.62%, 2042 (n)A3/–/–01/20£2602.601555.65-19101+1
Affordable Housing Finance 3.80%, 2042 (n)–/AA/–05/14£6013.71374.98-1934+1
Aster 4.59%, 2043 (n)–/A/–12/13£4504.591055.37-2473-4
Longhurst 3.25%, 2043 (n)A3/–/–05/18£3503.351485.66-21102-1
THFC (Funding No.3) 5.17%, 2043 (n)–/A+/–10/13£1,0554.501055.48-2284-2
Optivo 5.25%, 2043 (n)A3/–/–09/13£3004.682155.76-18112+2
CHP 4.75%, 2043 (n)–/A-/–03/21£2502.58133.55.68-19104+1
Affordable Housing Finance 2.89%, 2043 (n)–/AA/–08/15£1,1432.82404.97-2033+0
Peabody (Capital No.2) 5.25%, 2043 (n)A3/A-/A11/13£2004.631055.60-2196-1
Home Group 3.13%, 2043 (n)–/A-/–03/19£3503.251705.66-22102-2
LiveWest 2.25%, 2043 (n)A2/–/–10/19£2502.351405.39-2275-2
Circle Anglia 5.20%, 2044 (n)A3/A-/–02/12£2505.221985.68-20104-0
Guinness 4.00%, 2044 (n)A3/A-/–10/14£2504.021305.52-2188-1
Riverside 3.87%, 2044 (n)Baa1/–/A11/14£2503.871355.91-22127-3
Wheatley 4.37%, 2044 (n)–/A+/–11/14£3004.371605.47-2283-2
BPHA 4.81%, 2044 (n)–/A+/–03/14£3504.811355.49-2285-2
East Midlands 4.50%, 2044 (n)–/A/–01/14£2004.591085.52-1988+1
Grand Union 4.62%, 2044 (n)A3/–/–11/13£1504.661145.94-19130+1
Yorkshire 4.12%, 2044 (n)A3/–/–10/14£2004.231355.75-18111+2
Futures Treasury 3.375%, 2044 (l)–/A/–04/22£2702.31255.55-2086-1
Orbit 3.5%, 2045 (p)A3/–/–03/15£2503.611155.57-2085-1
WHG 4.25%, 2045 (n)A2/–/–10/14£2504.281255.57-2293-2
Cambridgeshire Housing Capital 4.25%, 2045 (p)–/A+/–09/14£1504.391205.44-1873+1
Housing & Care 21 3.29%, 2047 (w)–/A-/–11/17£5003.161385.73-15102+1
Paragon 3.62%, 2047 (p)A3/BBB+/–01/15£2503.621405.94-20123-1
Sanctuary 5.08%, 2047 (r)A2/A/–11/13£4504.20785.56-2282-5
Catalyst 3.13%, 2047 (w)–/A-/–10/17£4003.211305.73-18102-2
Karbon Homes 3.37%, 2047 (w)–/A/–11/18£2503.501535.53-1782-1
Southern Housing Group 3.50%, 2047 (w)A3/–/A10/18£3003.621585.84-17113-1
GreenSquare, 5.25%, 2047 (w)Baa1/–/A-11/22£4005.402105.86-17115-1
Bromford 3.13%, 2048 (w)A2/A+/–04/18£3003.251355.46-1875-1
Clarion Funding 3.13%, 2048 (w)A3/A-/A+01/21£5001.77885.62-1892-1
Metropolitan 4.12%, 2048 (r)–/A-/–09/15£2504.121675.99-20125-3
Optivo Finance 3.28%, 2048 (w)A3/–/–03/18£2503.281005.77-20107-3
Swan 3.62%, 2048 (p)–/A/–02/15£2503.681305.72-20101-1
Notting Hill 3.25%, 2048 (w)A3/A-/A-10/17£4003.281355.84-3114+14
WM Housing Group 3.25%, 2048 (w)A3/–/–10/17£2803.301375.67-1797-0
RHP 3.25%, 2048 (p)–/A/–09/20£1751.791055.46-1975+0
Orbit 3.4%, 2048 (n)A3/–/–06/18£4503.461605.54-2290-3
Peabody 3.25%, 2048 (w)A3/A-/A09/18£4503.371555.74-18103-1
Wrekin 2.5%, 2048 (w)–/A/–10/19£2502.611485.59-1789-1
Sovereign 2.375%, 2048 (w)A3/A/–09/19£3752.481275.62-1791-1
Hexagon 3.625%, 2048 (w)–/BBB+/–04/22£2503.671676.03-18132-2
London & Quadrant 3.75%, 2049 (s)A3/BBB+/A10/15£2503.751355.74-1799-1
Blend Funding Plc 3.46%, 2047/49 (w)A2/–/–03/22£5883.561585.61-1690+0
Incommunities 3.3%, 2049 (s)–/A/–03/19£2503.291575.62-1787-1
Accent Capital 2.63%, 2049 (s)–/A/–07/19£3502.731305.59-1784-1
Sanctuary 2.375%, 2050 (s)A2/A/–04/20£3502.381705.57-1882-2
Platform 5.342%, 2050 (y)–/A+/A+04/24£2505.34835.51-1787-2
Beyond Housing 2.125%, 2051 (y)A2/–/–05/21£2502.22905.46-1382+2
Paradigm 2.250%, 2051 (y)–/A+/–05/21£2502.28885.40-1776-2
Anchor Hanover Group 2.00%, 2051 (y)–/A+/–07/21£3502.00935.47-1782-3
Clarion Funding Plc 1.875%, 2051 (b)A3/A-/A+09/21£3001.98935.58-1587-1
Saltaire 1.527%, 2051 (b)Aa3/–/–11/21£3501.53385.07-1535-1
Martlet Homes Ltd 3.00%, 2052 (t)–/A-/A05/17£4003.041405.59-1483-0
PenArian Housing Finance Plc 3.21%, 2052 (w)A3/A/–06/17£2503.261555.68-1698-0
Jigsaw, 3.375%, 2052 (t)A2/–/–05/22£3603.501575.54-1578-1
London & Quadrant 3.13%, 2053 (t)A3/BBB+/A02/18£3353.161355.70-1594-1
Peabody 4.62%, 2053 (t)A3/A-/A12/13£3504.621055.73-1497-0
Onward 2.125%, 2053 (t)A1/–/–03/21£3502.22885.70-1595-2
Notting Hill 4.37%, 2054 (u)A3/A-/A-03/14£2504.47985.87+5112+19
Blend Funding Plc 2.922%, 2054/56 (x)A2/–/–03/22£6072.251155.46-1576-1
Southern Housing 5.625%, 2054 (x)A3/–/A10/24£2505.661205.82-13112+0
Guinness 2.00%, 2055 (u)A3/A-/–04/20£4002.021455.53-1578-1
Hyde 1.75%, 2055 (u)–/A-/A08/20£4001.751305.54-1479-0
Platform 1.625%, 2055 (u)–/A+/A+08/20£3501.6397.65.48-1574-1
LiveWest 1.875%, 2056 (u)A2/–/–02/21£2501.90905.53-1679-2
London & Quadrant 2.75%, 2057 (u)A3/BBB+/A07/17£2502.701055.73-1598-1
Sovereign 5.5%, 2057 (o)A3/A/–01/24£4005.601085.64-1599-2
Clarion 5.375%, 2057 (o)A3/A-/A+04/24£2505.4698.685.59-1594-2

Notes: Notting Hill Genesis’ bonds were suspended at the time of this data; n/s = not stated: rarely traded and considered to be currently illiquid. Also includes FRESH Series 1, Funding for Homes, GESB, HACO, HAF and HSL, not listed above. n/a = new bond; credit ratings are included as at the date of the bond data supplied

Sources: Markit, Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets, Royal Bank of Scotland; (bracket) UK Treasury reference gilts for bond issues: © 2024 Tradeweb Markets LLC. All rights reserved. The Tradeweb FTSE Gilt Closing; Prices information contained herein is proprietary to Tradeweb; may not be copied or re-distributed; is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely; and does not constitute investment advice. Tradeweb is not responsible for any loss or damage that might result from the use of this information

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