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G15 landlords reveal mixed fortunes amid the pandemic

G15 landlords have reported mixed fortunes in the last financial year amid the pandemic with completions falling but fears around rent arrears largely being allayed and surpluses increasing.

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Some landlords reported that their housing starts were impacted by the pandemic (picture: Getty)
Some landlords reported that their housing starts were impacted by the pandemic (picture: Getty)
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G15 landlords have reported mixed fortunes in the last financial year amid the pandemic with completions falling but fears around rent arrears largely being allayed and surpluses increasing #UKhousing #SocialHousingFinance

Three of the four large London housing associations, which have published unaudited results in the past month, revealed sharp drops in completions after the shutdown of many residential building sites at the start of the pandemic due to lockdown restrictions.

 

Optivo reported that its completions fell 31 per cent to 577 in the year to the end of March 2021.

 

Notting Hill Genesis (NHG) posted a 32 per cent drop in completions to 1,342. And Metropolitan Thames Valley Housing (MTVH), which also pointed to Brexit disruption of the construction sector, saw a 10 per cent fall to 923.

 

However, L&Q bucked the trend by reporting an 11 per cent jump in completions to 2,699, of which 57 per cent were social housing tenures. The previous year the 118,000-home landlord posted a 15 per cent fall in overall completions.

 

Housing starts were also impacted, some landlords reported. Optivo said its starts fell 33 per cent to 1,002. L&Q saw its starts drop by three per cent to 3,818. However, NHG saw its starts jump 42 per cent to 947.

 

Rent arrears

 

On the whole, landlords were not impacted by rent arrears as much as forecast. MTVH said its arrears ended the year at “just under” five per cent, saying that its concerns around arrears “did not materialise”.

 

L&Q also said it had seen a “stronger than expected performance” on rent arrears, without disclosing figures.

 

Optivo reported that its overall rent arrears were 4.1 per cent, down from 4.3 per cent the prior year. The 45,000-home landlord also reported a drop in voids, from 1.6 per cent to 1.1 per cent.

 

However, NHG saw rent arrears rise to 5.5 per cent, up from 4.7 per cent the previous year. The number of tenants it has who have some or all of their rent paid by Universal Credit also rose – to 20 per cent, up from 15 per cent.


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Repairs and maintenance

 

COVID-19 disruption also hampered landlords’ repairs and maintenance efforts as some work was put on hold because of lockdowns. L&Q reported that it spent £186m in the year on residents’ homes, compared to £231m the prior year.

 

Optivo spent £28m on routine maintenance, down from £31m the prior year. MTVH said that the amount it spent on property improvements was flat year-on-year at £42m.

 

Fire safety

 

G15 landlords are still facing hefty costs for fire safety work. Earlier this year the G15 group warned that its 12 members expect to spend £3bn over the next decade to make buildings safe.

 

In the last financial year, L&Q revealed that it spent £25m on extra fire safety measures, compared with £35m the previous year. In the current year it expects to spend around £30m.

 

MTVH reported a rise in fire safety spend over the year, up from £16m to £21m.

 

In its update, NHG revealed that the “gross cost” of rectifying faults related to fire risk is expected to be around £230m. However, it said it expects to recover some funds from the government’s Building Safety Fund, the National House Building Council and from leaseholders, leaving a “likely net cost of about £173m”.

 

NHG said that its initial focus had been on buildings taller than 18 metres, but that there are also other newer buildings where it may “still have a claim against contractors”.

 

But it added: “Most contractors have been positively engaged in rectifying any faults related to them.”

 

Last October NHG announced a full review of six blocks in west London, known as the Paragon Estate, after its 1,000 residents were evacuated due to safety concerns. NHG has so far spent £21.7m on buying back the leases from 73 of the 105 lessees on the development.

Development/sales

 

As the capital’s housing market continues to show slow growth, amid a softening of demand during the pandemic, housing associations have rowed back on their plans.

 

NHG previously reduced its development following a review in November 2018 triggered by the volume of unsold units. It said that its programme is now “reset” to a target of 1,400 new homes per year, down from an original target upon merger of 2,700 homes annually. Spend on new housing decreased from £654m in 2018/19, to £470m in 2019/20 and £335m in 2020/21.

 

The new target includes a higher split of homes for social, affordable and London Affordable Rent, it said.

 

Optivo said: “To keep our financial metrics where we want them, we’re easing our pace of development growth and weighting future projects to affordable lettings rather than sales.”

 

L&Q, which earlier this year revealed that its long-term development target was being relaxed, said its current development pipeline totals an estimated £5.2bn.

 

At the same time, Waqar Ahmed, L&Q’s group finance director, said the expectation was that it would “divert a greater level of expenditure towards our residents’ existing homes”.

 

The group also revealed that the average selling price, including joint ventures, for outright market sales during the last year was £495,000, compared to £612,000 the previous year. Of these, 63 per cent were Help to Buy, compared with 74 per cent the prior year.

 

L&Q said the average selling price of first-tranche shared ownership sales during the year was £427,000, against £387,000 the previous year, with an average first tranche sale of 33 per cent.

 

Surpluses, turnover and debt

 

Despite the pandemic, all four of the G15 members reported growth for their bottom lines.

 

L&Q reported that its EBITDA rose 26 per cent to £382m in the past year, but it did not disclose a post-tax surplus figure. Turnover rose 15 per cent to £1.05bn. Net debt edged down to £5.4bn. Looking ahead, L&Q said it expected its post-tax surplus in the current year to be between £230m and £250m.

 

MTVH said its post-tax surplus in the year to March 2021 rose 24 per cent to £61.1m. Revenue fell four per cent to £446m. The group saw net debt fall to £1.9bn from £2bn the prior year, which it attributed to “a year of strong cash generation boosted by a good sales market and some delayed development spend”.

 

Optivo reported a 15 per cent increase in post-tax surplus to £103m, off an increased turnover of £331m. Total debt was flat at £1.49bn.

 

NHG said it had budgeted for a surplus of £101.2m for the last financial year and expects the final figure to be “significantly higher that this”. It did not disclose a turnover figure. Net debt stood at £3.4bn.

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