Housing associations should be writing a second lockdown into their business plans with a view to holding up to two years of liquidity in order to secure finance, a director from the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) has said.
Ian Sillars, regional director of real estate finance and housing finance at RBS, told the Social Housing Scottish Annual Conference on Tuesday (15 September) that there would be both challenges and opportunities if the UK is put back into another lockdown this winter.
He said that the sector could prove to be a key part of wider plans to kick-start the economy, but that he expects organisations to have good treasury management and to be holding up to 24 months of liquidity if they want to approach the bank for finance.
Additionally, housing associations would be expected to show they are controlling arrears, collecting rents and re-letting empty properties quickly, he said.
During the past six months there has been a “significant adverse impact on trading activities for most of the bank’s customers”, Mr Sillars said, although social housing organisations had proved to be the exception, with both the banking and debt market remaining accessible.
Most support measures that the bank had to put in place were aimed at commercial property clients, rather than registered social landlords, he added.
When asked whether their organisation is planning to turn to lenders for additional funding as a result of the pandemic, 86.7% of respondents said no.
Mr Sillars said he was not surprised by the results of the poll. “The funding market has been open for housing associations all the way through the pandemic and liquidity has been quite stable,” he said.
Rhona McLeod, chief executive of Trust Housing Association, a 3,600-home provider of mostly homes for older people, said that rather than planning additional funding, Trust is focused on conducting a treasury review.
She said that the organisation this year has reduced income as a result of increased voids and bad debts, but that that had been offset by cost reductions, particularly in repairs.
“Rent arrears will get worse before they get better, because of the end of the furlough scheme,” she said.
Evictions have also presented a “moral dilemma”, with the organisation forced to choose between evicting someone during a global pandemic and protecting the financial stability of the company and services for other tenants.
The ambition for its business plan is to be “robust and flexible”, she said, adding that Trust is bringing in new software to model different scenarios, including income reduction and cost increases.
Similarly, Sarah Smith, chief financial officer at Optivo, said the team had been undertaking stress-testing and had implemented an early warning system for reporting on its key performance indicators.
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