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Rent cap at five per cent would cost landlords £7.4bn, official figures show

A five per cent rent cap would cost housing associations and councils £7.4bn in lost rent over the next five years, the government’s official modelling has revealed.

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A five per cent rent cap would cost housing associations and councils £7.4bn in lost rent over the next five years, the government’s official modelling has revealed #UKhousing #SocialHousingFinance

The Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities (DLUHC) today launched a consultation on introducing a temporary rent cap for social housing for the 2023-24 financial year. This includes options of a three per cent, five per cent and seven per cent cap.

 

A separate impact assessment, published by DLUHC, set out estimates of what registered providers would lose in rental income between 2023 and 2028, compared to allowing the current system to continue. 

 

It estimated that if a five per cent cap was introduced, landlords would lose £7.4bn in rental income over the next five years, including £1.3bn in the next financial year.


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Of this, £4.9bn would come from housing associations and £2.5bn from local authorities. 

 

Meanwhile, a three per cent rent cap would result in £9.9bn in lost rental income for registered providers, £6.5bn from housing associations and £3.4bn from councils, the modelling shows. Registered providers would lose £1.8bn next financial year in this scenario.

 

And a seven per cent rent cap would cost RPs £4.9bn over the next five years, comprising £3.2bn from housing associations and £1.7bn from local authorities. Next year alone, £900m would be lost in rent, the figures have shown.

The government has said that a five per cent cap is its preferred option. 

 

DLUHC said a five per cent cap would strike an “appropriate balance” between protecting social housing tenants and ensuring social landlords can increase rents to mitigate some of the impact of rising costs. 

 

Housing associations and councils have been reacting to news of plans to set a temporary cap, with one chief executive warning that “government has to be careful of the consequences”.

 

Housing associations have already been contemplating how much they should raise rents next year and modelling a number of scenarios.